Cost Efficiency Analysis

What does justice actually cost? Manhattan is 6.3x more expensive per cleared crime than the Bronx.

2 questions answered
4 missing data

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The Efficiency Crisis

Overall Efficiency (All 7 Major Crimes, Q1 2024 - Q2 2025, 18 months):

  • Bronx: $10,465 per clearance | 41.4% clearance rate | 84.2 crimes/detective (18 mo)
  • Brooklyn: $16,307 per clearance | 44.4% clearance rate | 48.2 crimes/detective (18 mo)
  • Queens: $17,395 per clearance | 41.3% clearance rate | 45.7 crimes/detective (18 mo)
  • Staten Island: $25,550 per clearance | 48.7% clearance rate | 28.2 crimes/detective (18 mo)
  • Manhattan: $63,161 per clearance | 40.7% clearance rate | 11.2 crimes/detective (18 mo)

The Workload Paradox: Manhattan detectives handle 7.5x FEWER crimes per detective than Bronx (11.2 vs 84.2), yet cost 6.0x MORE per clearance ($63,161 vs $10,465). Bronx detectives are handling ~56 crimes/year each while Manhattan detectives handle only ~7 crimes/year each. Manhattan has 4,051 detectives (7.6x more than Bronx's 536) and spends $735M on detective compensation (7.4x more than Bronx's $99M).

This is not a resource problem - it's a productivity problem. Manhattan detectives are massively overstaffed and dramatically underperforming.

Question 20

How much does it cost to solve a murder? (And rape, robbery, burglary, etc.)

Cost per clearance by crime type

ANSWERED

Using FY2024 detective compensation and Q1 2024 - Q2 2025 clearance data (18 months): Murder ranges from $3,941 (Bronx) to $26,320 (Manhattan) per clearance. Rape: $6,524 (Bronx) to $68,411 (Manhattan) - a 10.5x difference! Robbery: $6,263 (Bronx) to $40,245 (Manhattan). Full analysis across all 7 major crime types available.

Key Finding
Manhattan is 6-10.5x more expensive per cleared crime across ALL categories. For rape specifically, Manhattan costs $68,411 per clearance while Bronx costs $6,524 - a 10.5x difference.
Cost Per Clearance by Crime Type (All 7 Major Crimes)
Overall Efficiency Ranking by Borough
Data Source: FY2024 NYC Citywide Payroll Data + NYPD Clearance Reports Q1 2024 - Q2 2025 (18 months)
Question 21

Which precincts solve crimes most cost-effectively?

Cost per clearance by precinct

MISSING DATA
Missing Data
Why This Matters

Borough-level data shows massive disparities (Bronx 6.3x more efficient than Manhattan). Precinct-level data would identify best practices to replicate and worst performers needing reform.

What We Need

Precinct-level clearance data + precinct-level staffing/budget allocations

For Journalists: FOIL Request Template

FOIL request: "Clearance rates by precinct and crime type for 2020-2025, plus personnel headcount and budget allocation by precinct"

Question 22

What is our cost per arrest?

By crime type

MISSING DATA
Missing Data
Why This Matters

Arrests ≠ clearances. Some arrests do not clear cases, and some cases are cleared without arrests. Understanding cost per arrest helps evaluate if we are arresting efficiently.

What We Need

Total arrests by crime type and borough/precinct + personnel costs

For Journalists: FOIL Request Template

FOIL request: "Total arrests by crime type, precinct, and month for 2020-2025"

Question 23

What is our cost per conviction?

By crime type

MISSING DATA
Missing Data
Why This Matters

The ultimate measure of effectiveness. If arrests do not lead to convictions, we are wasting resources and potentially harming innocent people. Cost per conviction shows true value.

What We Need

Conviction data from District Attorneys + NYPD cost data

For Journalists: FOIL Request Template

FOIL requests to both NYPD and NYC District Attorneys: "Conviction rates by crime type and originating precinct for 2020-2025, linked to arrest case numbers"

Question 24

How much do we spend per capita in each neighborhood?

Budget per resident by precinct

MISSING DATA
Missing Data
Why This Matters

Are we over-policing some neighborhoods and under-policing others? Cost per capita by precinct reveals equity issues and resource allocation fairness.

What We Need

Precinct-level budget allocations + population data by precinct

For Journalists: FOIL Request Template

FOIL request: "Total budget allocation (personnel + operations) by precinct for FY2020-2025"

Question 25

Are we getting better value over time?

Cost per outcome trending

PARTIAL DATA

Partial data shows worsening value: Overtime spending increased 119% under Adams (FY2022-2025), but we only have Q1 2025 clearance data for comparison. Cannot assess multi-year trend without historical clearance rates.

Key Finding
Cost going UP (119% OT increase) but lack of historical clearance data prevents determining if outcomes improved proportionally.
Data Source: FY2014-2025 NYC Citywide Payroll Data + NYPD Clearance Report Q1 2025

Key Findings: Cost Per Clearance

Most Expensive (Manhattan)

  • Murder: $26,320 per clearance (6.7x more than Bronx)
  • Rape: $68,411 per clearance (10.5x more than Bronx)
  • Robbery: $40,245 per clearance (6.4x more)
  • Car Theft: $126,763 per clearance (6.0x more)

Most Efficient (Bronx)

  • Murder: $3,941 per clearance
  • Rape: $6,524 per clearance
  • Robbery: $6,263 per clearance
  • Overall: $10,465 avg per clearance

The Pattern: Across ALL 7 major crime categories (Murder, Rape, Robbery, Felony Assault, Burglary, Grand Larceny, Car Theft), Manhattan is consistently 6-15x more expensive per cleared crime than the Bronx.

The Paradox: Despite having 7.6x more detectives and spending 7.4x more on detective compensation, Manhattan achieves nearly identical clearance rates (40.7% vs 41.4%) at vastly higher cost.

The Workload Reality: This is NOT a resource problem. Manhattan detectives handle only 11.2 crimes per detective (18 months) - that is 7.5x FEWER than Bronx detectives who handle 84.2 crimes each. Annualized, Bronx detectives handle ~56 crimes/year while Manhattan detectives handle only ~7 crimes/year. Manhattan is massively overstaffed yet dramatically underperforming.

The $700M Question: If Manhattan matched Bronx efficiency, the same number of cleared crimes would cost $700M less per year. That is triple the entire estimated savings from precinct consolidation, and this gap exists while Manhattan detectives have 7.5x LIGHTER workloads.